Russia and Eurasia

Russia and Eurasia: A Realistic Policy Agenda for the Obama Administration

March 27, 2009

By Ariel Cohen, Ph.D.

The Russian and Eurasian Policy Project was inaugurated to assist policymakers in the legislative and executive branches who will formulateU.S. policies toward Russia and Eurasia. The project’s task force is composed of leading experts on Russia and Eurasia who have extensive policy experience in Russian and Eurasian affairs and national security in both Republican and Democratic Administrations.

Continued

The Obama–Medvedev G-20 Meeting: The Agenda for the First Encounter

March 27, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

On April 1, President Barack Obama will meet for the first time with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev at the G-20 summit in London. The two world leaders are expected to discuss a broad range of issues on the global and U.S.-Russian bilateral agenda, including U.S. plans forAfghanistan, Iran, and missile defense in Europe.

Continued

How the Obama Administration Should Engage Russia

March 19, 2009

Testimony By Ariel Cohen

Testimony before Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Hearing on "Prospects for Engagement with Russia"
Delivered
Thursday, March 19, 2009

"Barack Obama and Joe Biden will address the challenge posed by an increasingly autocratic and bellicose Russia by pursuing a new, comprehensive strategy that advances American national interests without compromising our enduring principles."


Continued

How the Obama Administration Should Deal with Russia’s Revisionist Foreign Policy

March 12, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

Barack Obama and Joe Biden will address the challenge posed by an increasingly autocratic and bellicose Russia by pursuing a new, comprehensive strategy that advances American national interests without compromising our enduring principles.

Continued

Don’t push the reset button yet

February 25, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

Vice President Joe Biden suggested at the Munich international security conference on Feb. 7 that America push "the reset button" on relations with Russia. But the Obama administration shouldn’t allow Moscow to pocket gains it has recently made in Eurasia. A "carrots-and-flowers" approach to the Kremlin won’t work.

Continued

‍

Russia regains key air base to project power in Caucasus

February 5, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

As the dust over the August 2008 Russian-Georgian war settles, the extent of Russia’s geopolitical gain in South Caucasus and the Black Sea is becoming clearer.

Besides the naval base in the Abkhazian port of Ochamchire, of which we wrote recently, Moscow intends to restore the former Soviet air base Bombora in the Gudauta district of Abkhazia.

Continued

Swords and Shields: Russia’s Abkhaz base plan

February 3, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

Russia plans to establish a Black Sea naval base at the Abkhaz port of Ochamchire.

Ochamchire is some 60 kilometers southeast of the Abkhaz capital ofSukhumi, near the cease-fire line with Georgia. If permanently stationed there, Russian ships essentially would control the Georgian territorial waters all the way to the Turkish border.

Continued

Swords and Shields: Russia bets on PAK FA

January 16, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

Moscow continues to pursue a Sukhoi-based fifth-generation fighter. After five years of effort, Russia finally found an international partner for the development project. In 2007 India entered an agreement to jointly develop a fifth-generation fighter based on the Sukhoi.

Continued

‍

Russia Bets on New Sukhoi Fighter to Match F-35

January 16, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

Moscow continues to pursue a Sukhoi-based fifth-generation fighter. After five years of effort, Russia finally found an international partner for the development project. In 2007 India entered an agreement to jointly develop a fifth-generation fighter based on the Sukhoi.


Continued

European Security and Russia’s Natural Gas Disruption

January 8, 2009

By Ariel Cohen & Owen Graham

On January 1, 2009, Russia’s state monopoly OAO Gazprom began reducing gas supplies to Ukraine. Moscow and Kiev had failed to negotiate the price for natural gas, and the initial reduction affected six additional countries: Czech Republic, Turkey, Poland, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria. As problematic as this was, the crisis has extended beyond these initial victims. Russia is losing its reputation as a reliable supplier of gas to Europe.

Continued

Russia Provokes U.S. with Venezuela sea exercises

January 7, 2009

By Ariel Cohen

WASHINGTON, Jan. 7 (UPI) -- Russia held joint naval exercises withVenezuela late last year to demonstrate its growing strategic reach and political clout, particularly in Latin America, which many consider the traditional U.S. sphere of influence.

Continued

Russia’s Play in Uncle Sam’s Neighborhood

December 18, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

Despite the raging economic crisis and collapse of oil prices, Russiacontinues to push its global diplomatic offensive, which has overt anti-American overtones. At the end of November, President Dmitry Medvedev paid a week-long visit to Latin America  The trip demonstratedRussia’s growing strategic reach and political clout in a region considered a U.S. sphere of influence.

Continued

Is civilian control of Russia’s nuclear arsenal at risk?

December 12, 2008

WASHINGTON, Dec. 12 (UPI) -- Russian generals have long felt they should be the ones to set military policy. They have trouble accepting civilian authority -- be it from President Dmitry Medvedev or Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov. They derisively describe the minister as a former furniture salesman and tax man, yet Serdyukov knows where the brass keep their money.

Continued

Russia deploys ship, aircraft to show force in Arctic

December 11, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

WASHINGTON, Dec. 1 (UPI) -- The Arctic Ocean is quickly re-emerging as a strategic area where vital U.S. interests are at stake. The geopolitical and geo-economic importance of the arctic region is rising rapidly, and its mineral wealth will likely transform the region into a booming economic frontier in the 21st century.

Continued

Russia’s generals fight Putin to conserve corruption

December 11, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

WASHINGTON, Dec. 11 (UPI) -- Implementing military reform is a challenging task for Russian generals. Understanding what’s going on is daunting for outside observers. Moscow’s military leaders seem to think that the best way to proceed is to keep their dirty laundry out of public view.

Continued

Russia focuses warships and weapons systems in Arctic

November 21, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

WASHINGTON, Nov. 21 (UPI) -- The resumption of Cold War-style patrols and increased naval presence in the Arctic Ocean by the Russian navy and air force is in keeping with the Russian Federation’s more forward posture of recent years.

Continued

‍

Europe Anti-Missile Defense System: Standing Up to Russia’s Threats

November 20, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

The day after Barack Obama won the 2008 U.S. presidential election, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev announced the first real test for the U.S. President-elect. In his State of the Federation speech, Medvedev threatened to station Iskander short-range nuclear-capable missiles in the Kaliningrad exclave if the U.S. proceeds with deploying anti-missile defense systems in Poland and the Czech Republic.

Continued

Russia focuses weapon systems on Arctic wealth

November 6, 2008

By Ariel Cohen and Lajos Szaszdi

WASHINGTON, Nov. 6 (UPI) -- The arctic is quickly re-emerging as a strategic area where vital U.S. interests are at stake. The geopolitical and geo-economic importance of the arctic region is rising rapidly, and its mineral wealth will likely transform the region into a booming economic frontier in the 21st century.

Continued

Russia’s Navy Protects Syria’s Missiles

October 16, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

Until Russia can revitalize its naval forces to a much larger degree, its deployments to the Mediterranean contribute more to symbolic and diplomatic activity than being a viable military counterweight to NATO in the region. Yet the Black Sea Fleet in the Med is a significant show of force and a diplomatic irritant and a potential threat to shipping in the Suez Canal and to America’s ally Israel.

Continued

Valdai Club Highlights Russia’s Modernization Dilemma

September 15, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

The fifth annual Valdai Club meeting took place against the backdrop of the conflict in the Caucasus and Russia’s recognition of the secessionist republics Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The Valdai Club, of which this author is a member, brings together policy experts and journalists fromRussia and the world for discussions with the Russian leadership.

Continued


Dealing With Russia

September 14, 2008

Ariel Cohen

On Aug. 8, Russia decided to rewrite the rules of post-World War II European security. It repudiated the Helsinki Pact of 1975, which recognized the sanctity of borders in Europe, and violated the sovereignty and territorial integrity of NATO aspirant Georgia, whose troops had attacked South Ossetia the day before. In the process, Russia also tore up its own peacekeeping mandate in South Ossetia and Abkhazia.

Continued

Russian Forces in the Georgian War: Preliminary Assessment and Recommendations

August 20, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

While all the facts of last week’s Russian-Georgian war are not clear, enough information--including eyewitness accounts--has been reported in the media to draw initial conclusions about the performance of Russian military forces and the implications of these operations for U.S. defense policies. Unquestionably, the war is a reminder that "conventional" military operations as an instrument of modern combat are far from obsolete.

Continued

‍

Saving Georgia

August 12, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

Moscow remains deaf to pleas from Washington and European capitals to cease aggression against its neighbor, Georgia. Last week, as the Olympic Games opened, the tragic and ominous conflict between Georgia and Russia erupted. On Thursday, August 7, South Ossetian separatists, supported by Moscow, escalated their machine gun and mortar fire attacks against neighboring Georgian villages.

Continued

‍

Alexander Solzhenitsyn: The Passing of a Titan

August 5, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

Alexander Solzhenitsyn (1918–2008) was a titan of 20th century Russian literature and politics. He survived the Stalinist purges, World War II, eight years in the Gulag, Communist denunciation, and even a battle with cancer. After spending 18 years exiled in America, he made a triumphant return to his homeland.

Continued

‍

Putin’s "Zaibatsu" - The Russian Technology Property Grab

August 1, 2008

By Ariel Cohen

July 2008 will mark a momentous month in the history of Russian business. This is when Sergey Chemezov, a close associate of Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, consolidated control over 426 additional enterprises that are now a part of the Russian Technologies (Rostechnologii) empire. A global, state-owned Russian weapons-and-metals holding has been born.

Continued

‍