21st Century Security

Expert: U.S. weak response for Vitol's violation could send message to other oil companies

February 14, 2019

Baku. 13 February. REPORT.AZ/ "Should the U.S. government issue a weak response for the violation by Vitol, it could send a message to other oil companies that violating sanctions for the sake of profit is worth the risk," Ariel Cohen, PhD, Senior fellow, the Atlantic Council and founding principal, International market analysis LTD, said.

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US requests UN Security Council meeting to discuss crisis in Venezuela

February 1, 2019

Atlantic Council senior fellow Ariel Cohen and Fox Business foreign policy analyst Walid Phares on the widespread protests against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and how the U.S. has called for a UN Security Council meeting to discuss the crisis in Venezuela.

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NATO Should Stand Up Black Sea Command Before It’s Too Late

October 23, 2018

At its summit in Warsaw on July 8 and 9, NATO should take urgent steps to protect its allies and partners on its southeastern flank. Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey, as well as Ukraine and Georgia, are all under severe pressure from Russia and require NATO assistance.

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As Russia and Iran Strengthen Ties, U.S. Should Support Key Ally Georgia

October 23, 2018

As the US is engaged in pre-election navel-gazing, Russia is not taking a summer nap. The Kremlin never sleeps, and especially not in August, and not during the Olympic season. The Beijing Olympics in 2008 coincided with the Russia-Georgian conflict, and the Ukrainian crisis developed during the Sochi Winter Olympics.

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Russia's Nord Stream II Pipeline Is Ukraine's Worst Nightmare

October 23, 2018

Ukraine is Russia’s gateway into European gas markets. Of the 193 billion cubic meters (bcm) Russia’s state-owned Gazprom pumped westward in 2017 – nearly 40 percent of Europe’s total supply – 93 bcm transited via Ukraine. Moscow, however, wants to change that, diminishing Ukraine’s transit role. Kyiv, on the other hand, hopes to maintain the current arrangement, as transit revenues contribute some USD 2-3 billion annually.

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LOOK ON THE BRIGHT SIDE: THE TRUMP-PUTIN SUMMIT COULD HAVE BEEN WORSE

October 23, 2018

What exactly happened in Helsinki? Washington—from Congress to the administration to the media—has been left scratching their heads. Trump’s dealing with Russia is like vaudeville meets a spy thriller—Monty Python meets Tom Clancy.

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TRUMP MUST STAND UP TO PUTIN—BUT HE NEEDS EUROPE'S HELP

October 23, 2018

On July 16, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are to meet in Helsinki, Finland, for what promises to be an historic summit—one likely to define the course of U.S.-Russian relations for many years to come. Following on the heels of the July 12 NATO summit in Brussels, the outcome of these U.S.-Russia talks may affect the unity, and even the survival, of the West.

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Germany and the US need a new beginning in their security relationship

October 23, 2018

In the snow-covered, fairy-tale city of Munich, global security leaders gathered for their yearly conclave, the Munich Security Conference, the Davos of foreign policy and power.However, instead of Bavarian glory, tension was in the air. This participant repeatedly saw speakers talking past each other, creating an impression that this was not a dialogue about the fate of the world, but an absurdist theater spectacle by Eugene Ionesco.

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Dr. Cohen on BBC News: Trump in China

November 9, 2017

Kazakhstan is opting for nuclear engagement, not deterrence

October 23, 2017

With North Korea wreaking havoc by testing nuclear weapons and missiles, and with Iranian nuclear program becoming once again the focus of U.S. foreign policy, Washington is searching for solutions to both crises. It is important to keep in mind that there are alternative, safer nuclear energy policies. Pyongyang and Tehran should take note and consider pursuing peaceful nuclear options.It can be done.

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Dr. Cohen's Comments on Washington and the Baltics

August 2, 2017

Vesti.lv"Ариэль Коэн: Вашингтон от Прибалтики просто отмахнется"Тимур Пушкавер 08/02/2017 Приход к власти в США Дональда Трампа знаменует кардинальные перемены в американской внешней политике. Основным конкурентом Соединенных Штатов для Трампа является Китай, а не Россия, а Европа не является внешнеполитическим приоритетом нового американского лидера.

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U.S.-Europe Rift: Is the West’s Survival at Stake?

June 19, 2017

Huffington Post

Dr. Ariel Cohen

June 19, 2017

Is the current conflict between the Trump Administration and the European leaders, including with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, threatening the survival of the West as we know it? If so, then it does not serve America’s – or Europe’s – interests. Both sides need to reverse the negativity before it is too late.

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Dr. Cohen Says China is the USA's Main Competition

June 2, 2017

Rubaltic.Ru"Ариэль Коэн: главный конкурент США — Китай, а не Россия"Александр Носович06/02/2017Приход к власти в США Дональда Трампа знаменует кардинальные перемены в американской внешней политике. Основным конкурентом Соединенных Штатов для Трампа является Китай, а не Россия, а Европа не является внешнеполитическим приоритетом нового американского лидера.

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Why the IPO of this Russian company in London could be a big deal

May 25, 2017

CNBC25 May 2017

By Dr. Ariel Cohen

Brexit may not be catastrophic for the London Stock Exchange, despite naysayers' dire prophecies.En+ Group, an integrated hydro power and aluminum producer owned by the Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, is mulling an initial public offering in London this summer to raise as much as $2 billion. This would be Russia's biggest public share offering for almost five years and the first Russian IPO in London since 2014.

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Trump’s first 100 days: the foreign policy report card

May 8, 2017

The Huffington Post By Ariel Cohen

May 8, 2017

  • Many in Washington feared Trump would sell out to Russia. That never happened.
  • Sanctions against Russia over Ukraine are in place.
  • Syria was hit with 59 Tomahawk missiles.
  • Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.
  • To quote Nikki Haley, “There’s a new sheriff in town.”

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More Solidarity with Ukraine Needed, Say Speakers at the Kyiv Security Forum

April 24, 2017

The Tenth Kyiv Security Forum an important foreign affairs conference conducted annually by the Open Ukraine Foundation occurred on April 6-7. Headed by Ukraine’s former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and his wife Terezia, the conference underscored an important message: the need for the West to stay engaged and maintain security in the borderlands between Russia and Central Europe, particularly in Ukraine, the most important country in Eastern Europe.

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Dr. Cohen Speaks on Bloomberg Markets AM: Putin is Doubling Down on Assad

April 12, 2017

RADIO INTERVIEW Bloomberg Markets AM with Pimm Fox and Lisa Abramowicz"Atlantic Council’s Ariel Cohen: Putin is Doubling Down on Assad"April 12, 2017 GUEST: Ariel Cohen, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council and director of the Center for Energy, Natural Resources and Geopolitics at the IAGS, on Syria, Russia and how oil plays a factor.Running time 06:17

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Dr. Cohen Discusses Strategy in Syria

April 7, 2017

In deciding on a missile strike against Syria on Thursday, President Donald Trump is still at risk of creating his own “red line” moment, according to foreign policy experts from across the political spectrum.Trump took the first step Thursday night, launching 50 to 60 Tomahawk cruise missiles at an air base in Syria. That came hours after the president told reporters on Air Force One, “something should happen.”

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Dr. Cohen Featured in Article on Yemen

March 30, 2017

With world headlines focused on North Korea’s nuclear tests, Russia’s ties to the Trump administration and landmark elections in France, it’s easy to forget about three ethnic conflicts that show no sign of going away in 2017.The ongoing civil war in Yemen, the continuing massacre of Rohingya Muslim refugees in Myanmar and escalating bloodshed in South Sudan — the world’s newest country —

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The Russian Military in Ukraine and Syria: Lessons for the United States (Event Video)

March 28, 2017

The Atlantic Council. March 28, 2017

The recent escalation of military activities in Donetsk and Luhansk in Eastern Ukraine and military power projection in Syria demonstrate massive improvements in Moscow’s military capabilities. Russia is using hybrid warfare and conventional military operations to achieve its geopolitical goals.

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Dr. Cohen Quoted in USA Today

March 28, 2017

USA Today "Trump's business network reached alleged Russian mobsters" Oren Dorell 03/28/2017

‍To expand his real estate developments over the years, Donald Trump, his company and partners repeatedly turned to wealthy Russians and oligarchs from former Soviet republics.

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Dr. Cohen on BBC World News commenting on the meeting between President Trump and Chancellor Angela Merkel

March 20, 2017

BBC March 20, 2017

Trump and Merkel Facing an Urgent Trans-Atlantic Agenda

March 16, 2017

The Huffington Post

March 16, 2017

The snowstorm that postponed German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s visit to the White House is symbolic of the chill in US-German relations. US President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Merkel’s open borders policy, which has brought over 1,250,000 refugees to Germany since 2015. Merkel has responded with a strong defense of freedom of movement and refugee rights.

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Trump and Merkel Cannot Afford to Fail

March 15, 2017

The Atlantic Council

Ariel Cohen

March 15, 2017

The massive snowstorm that postponed German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s visit to the White House is symbolic of the chill in US-German relations. US President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Merkel’s open borders policy, which has brought over 1,250,000 refugees to Germany since 2015. Merkel has responded with a strong defense of freedom of movement and refugee rights.

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How to Protect Hawaii from a North Korean Missile Attack

March 10, 2017

The Huffington Post

Ariel Cohen

March 10, 2017‍

Ballistic missile launches by North Korea and Iran are among the first tests being faced by the new Trump Administration – literally, trial by fire. The latest North Korean launches occurred on March 6th, when Pyongyang fired four missiles towards Japan. The Administration’s response will be key to defining how the outside world — both friend and foe — comes to view “Trump’s America”.

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