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In a historic collapse, U.S. oil prices plummeted over 300% on Monday as traders unloaded their positions ahead of the May contract expiration Tuesday. Of all the unpredictable economic swings in financial markets that have occurred since the onset of the global pandemic, Monday’s oil wipeout is without a doubt the most jaw-dropping.
Ariel Cohen and Anton Altman
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin announced that his country, the world’s leading oil and gas producer, plans to work closely with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), the oil cartel.
Russia has long spoken about linking up with OPEC, but at this point the extent of its participation has been sending high-level delegations to attend OPEC meetings in Vienna as observers.
On July 16, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are to meet in Helsinki, Finland, for what promises to be an historic summit—one likely to define the course of U.S.-Russian relations for many years to come. Following on the heels of the July 12 NATO summit in Brussels, the outcome of these U.S.-Russia talks may affect the unity, and even the survival, of the West.
In the snow-covered, fairy-tale city of Munich, global security leaders gathered for their yearly conclave, the Munich Security Conference, the Davos of foreign policy and power.However, instead of Bavarian glory, tension was in the air. This participant repeatedly saw speakers talking past each other, creating an impression that this was not a dialogue about the fate of the world, but an absurdist theater spectacle by Eugene Ionesco.
As the US is engaged in pre-election navel-gazing, Russia is not taking a summer nap. The Kremlin never sleeps, and especially not in August, and not during the Olympic season. The Beijing Olympics in 2008 coincided with the Russia-Georgian conflict, and the Ukrainian crisis developed during the Sochi Winter Olympics.
What exactly happened in Helsinki? Washington—from Congress to the administration to the media—has been left scratching their heads. Trump’s dealing with Russia is like vaudeville meets a spy thriller—Monty Python meets Tom Clancy.
Ukraine is Russia’s gateway into European gas markets. Of the 193 billion cubic meters (bcm) Russia’s state-owned Gazprom pumped westward in 2017 – nearly 40 percent of Europe’s total supply – 93 bcm transited via Ukraine. Moscow, however, wants to change that, diminishing Ukraine’s transit role. Kyiv, on the other hand, hopes to maintain the current arrangement, as transit revenues contribute some USD 2-3 billion annually.
Few days earlier, the Armenian side has approved the deal with Russia on weapons supply to Armenia through a $200 million deal. The Armenian government approved the first $ 100 million loan package, which will be extended to Armenia for 20 years.Some experts viewed it as another provocation by Yerevan ahead of the peace talks, while others argued that the deal hardly gives Armenia more power than those of Azerbaijan.
Vesti.lv"Ариэль Коэн: Вашингтон от Прибалтики просто отмахнется"Тимур Пушкавер 08/02/2017 Приход к власти в США Дональда Трампа знаменует кардинальные перемены в американской внешней политике. Основным конкурентом Соединенных Штатов для Трампа является Китай, а не Россия, а Европа не является внешнеполитическим приоритетом нового американского лидера.
CNBC25 May 2017
By Dr. Ariel Cohen
Brexit may not be catastrophic for the London Stock Exchange, despite naysayers' dire prophecies.En+ Group, an integrated hydro power and aluminum producer owned by the Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, is mulling an initial public offering in London this summer to raise as much as $2 billion. This would be Russia's biggest public share offering for almost five years and the first Russian IPO in London since 2014.
The Huffington Post By Ariel Cohen
May 8, 2017
BBC March 20, 2017
The Atlantic Council
Ariel Cohen
March 15, 2017
The massive snowstorm that postponed German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s visit to the White House is symbolic of the chill in US-German relations. US President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Merkel’s open borders policy, which has brought over 1,250,000 refugees to Germany since 2015. Merkel has responded with a strong defense of freedom of movement and refugee rights.
Komsolmolskaya Pravda"Американский политолог: Батальоны НАТО в Прибалтике – это ловушка"By Aleksei DenisenkovJanuary 25, 2017 Название дискуссии, которая прошла накануне в БФУ имени Канта, звучала угрожающе: «Россия и НАТО у красной черты. Почему на Западе считают, что Третья мировая война начнется в Прибалтике».
Rubaltic.ruАриэль Коэн: большая часть бронетехники будет отозвана из Прибалтики после маневров Ariel Cohen January 25, 2017 Большая часть военной техники и контингента, переброска которых в страны Восточной Европы и Прибалтику стартовала в начале января, вернутся на свои базы после маневров. Такую точку зрения высказал политолог, член совета по международным отношениям США Ариэль Коэн, передает телеканал «Россия 24».
Regnum January 25, 2017 "Мы можем ожидать переориентацию прибалтийских элит", 25 января 2017, 10:47 — REGNUM С победой Дональда Трампа переориентация элит Прибалтики может иметь место, если эти элиты почувствуют, что ни США, ни ЕС — прежде всего, Германия — особенно их не поддерживают.
24 Vesti Kaliningrad"Большая часть военных НАТО вернётся из Прибалтики и Польши обратно на свои базы"
January 24, 2017
AlgemeinerScorned by Obama, Israel Forged Ties With Russia, Expert Says
December 22, 2016
By Rafael Medof
According to a leading expert on the Middle East, Russia and international security, Israel’s tense relationship with the United States over the last eight years compelled it to forge valuable ties elsewhere, including, crucially, with the former Soviet Union.
Forbes
Exxon's Sanctioned Russian Oil Deal Threatens Rex Tillerson As Trump's Secretary Of State
Kenneth Rapoza
December 15, 2016
President-elect Donald Trump wants him. But many Russia-phobic Republicans rind arguably not a single Democratic in the Senate will vote for Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State.Tillerson announced his retirement Wednesday as CEO of Exxon after 41 years at the oil giant following Trump's nominating him to replace John Kerry at the State Department.
РБК"Бизнес-подход к дипломатии: почему Трамп выбрал Тиллерсона"
13/12/16
Александр Ратников, Тимофей Дзядко, Людмила Подобедова Руководитель ExxonMobil Рекс Тиллерсон выбран Дональдом Трампом на пост госсекретаря за сильные навыки в бизнесе и опыт работы в России. Партнеры Тиллерсона в Москве знают его как прагматика и надеются на улучшение отношений.Избранный президент США Дональд Трамп после нескольких недель собеседований выбрал кандидата на пост госсекретаря.
TV RainСамый удобный кандидат для России: снимет ли новый госсекретарь США санкции
13/12/2016
Financial Times
December 6, 2016
By Dr. Ariel Cohen
The mood is festive in the Russian capital, and expectations are high that Donald Trump’s elections may turn a new page in the difficult relationship between Moscow and Washington.The death spiral of US-Russian ties stretches back through the Barack Obama years to George W. Bush’s second term, when Russia invaded neighboring Georgia.
