Human history is replete with unanticipated catastrophic events that come like a bolt from the blue. During World War II, both Nazi Germany's attack on the Soviet Union (Operation Barbarossa) and the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor came as strategic surprises. Then as now, intelligence warnings were ignored.
Ariel Cohen, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council and Founding Principal of International Market Analysis, and David Wainer, Bloomberg International government reporter, react to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s press conference and the escalation with Iran.
Beijing and Moscow, which saw the first shipments of Russian natural gas to China via the much-awaited Power of Siberia pipeline. The $55 billion project is Russia’s most significant energy undertaking since the collapse of the Soviet Union, part of a larger $400 billion deal to supply China with 38 billion cubic meters of natural gas (bcm) per year for 30 years.
President Donald Trump’s energy dominance narrative – fueled by the prolific production of oil and gas from America’s Shale Gale – recently got a boost from the United States Navy. The US Naval Air Warfare Center Aircraft Division filed a patent for a compact fusion reactor (CFR) last month, one that claims to improve upon the shortcomings of the Lockheed Martin Skunkworks CFR that uses similar “plasma confinement” technology.
Baku. 13 February. REPORT.AZ/ "Should the U.S. government issue a weak response for the violation by Vitol, it could send a message to other oil companies that violating sanctions for the sake of profit is worth the risk," Ariel Cohen, PhD, Senior fellow, the Atlantic Council and founding principal, International market analysis LTD, said.
Atlantic Council senior fellow Ariel Cohen and Fox Business foreign policy analyst Walid Phares on the widespread protests against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and how the U.S. has called for a UN Security Council meeting to discuss the crisis in Venezuela.
What exactly happened in Helsinki? Washington—from Congress to the administration to the media—has been left scratching their heads. Trump’s dealing with Russia is like vaudeville meets a spy thriller—Monty Python meets Tom Clancy.
On July 16, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are to meet in Helsinki, Finland, for what promises to be an historic summit—one likely to define the course of U.S.-Russian relations for many years to come. Following on the heels of the July 12 NATO summit in Brussels, the outcome of these U.S.-Russia talks may affect the unity, and even the survival, of the West.
As the US is engaged in pre-election navel-gazing, Russia is not taking a summer nap. The Kremlin never sleeps, and especially not in August, and not during the Olympic season. The Beijing Olympics in 2008 coincided with the Russia-Georgian conflict, and the Ukrainian crisis developed during the Sochi Winter Olympics.
In the snow-covered, fairy-tale city of Munich, global security leaders gathered for their yearly conclave, the Munich Security Conference, the Davos of foreign policy and power.However, instead of Bavarian glory, tension was in the air. This participant repeatedly saw speakers talking past each other, creating an impression that this was not a dialogue about the fate of the world, but an absurdist theater spectacle by Eugene Ionesco.
Ukraine is Russia’s gateway into European gas markets. Of the 193 billion cubic meters (bcm) Russia’s state-owned Gazprom pumped westward in 2017 – nearly 40 percent of Europe’s total supply – 93 bcm transited via Ukraine. Moscow, however, wants to change that, diminishing Ukraine’s transit role. Kyiv, on the other hand, hopes to maintain the current arrangement, as transit revenues contribute some USD 2-3 billion annually.
With North Korea wreaking havoc by testing nuclear weapons and missiles, and with Iranian nuclear program becoming once again the focus of U.S. foreign policy, Washington is searching for solutions to both crises. It is important to keep in mind that there are alternative, safer nuclear energy policies. Pyongyang and Tehran should take note and consider pursuing peaceful nuclear options.It can be done.
Vesti.lv"Ариэль Коэн: Вашингтон от Прибалтики просто отмахнется"Тимур Пушкавер 08/02/2017 Приход к власти в США Дональда Трампа знаменует кардинальные перемены в американской внешней политике. Основным конкурентом Соединенных Штатов для Трампа является Китай, а не Россия, а Европа не является внешнеполитическим приоритетом нового американского лидера.
Dr. Ariel Cohen
June 19, 2017
Is the current conflict between the Trump Administration and the European leaders, including with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, threatening the survival of the West as we know it? If so, then it does not serve America’s – or Europe’s – interests. Both sides need to reverse the negativity before it is too late.
Rubaltic.Ru"Ариэль Коэн: главный конкурент США — Китай, а не Россия"Александр Носович06/02/2017Приход к власти в США Дональда Трампа знаменует кардинальные перемены в американской внешней политике. Основным конкурентом Соединенных Штатов для Трампа является Китай, а не Россия, а Европа не является внешнеполитическим приоритетом нового американского лидера.
CNBC25 May 2017
By Dr. Ariel Cohen
Brexit may not be catastrophic for the London Stock Exchange, despite naysayers' dire prophecies.En+ Group, an integrated hydro power and aluminum producer owned by the Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, is mulling an initial public offering in London this summer to raise as much as $2 billion. This would be Russia's biggest public share offering for almost five years and the first Russian IPO in London since 2014.
The Huffington Post By Ariel Cohen
May 8, 2017
The Tenth Kyiv Security Forum an important foreign affairs conference conducted annually by the Open Ukraine Foundation occurred on April 6-7. Headed by Ukraine’s former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and his wife Terezia, the conference underscored an important message: the need for the West to stay engaged and maintain security in the borderlands between Russia and Central Europe, particularly in Ukraine, the most important country in Eastern Europe.
RADIO INTERVIEW Bloomberg Markets AM with Pimm Fox and Lisa Abramowicz"Atlantic Council’s Ariel Cohen: Putin is Doubling Down on Assad"April 12, 2017 GUEST: Ariel Cohen, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council and director of the Center for Energy, Natural Resources and Geopolitics at the IAGS, on Syria, Russia and how oil plays a factor.Running time 06:17
In deciding on a missile strike against Syria on Thursday, President Donald Trump is still at risk of creating his own “red line” moment, according to foreign policy experts from across the political spectrum.Trump took the first step Thursday night, launching 50 to 60 Tomahawk cruise missiles at an air base in Syria. That came hours after the president told reporters on Air Force One, “something should happen.”
With world headlines focused on North Korea’s nuclear tests, Russia’s ties to the Trump administration and landmark elections in France, it’s easy to forget about three ethnic conflicts that show no sign of going away in 2017.The ongoing civil war in Yemen, the continuing massacre of Rohingya Muslim refugees in Myanmar and escalating bloodshed in South Sudan — the world’s newest country —